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So in my last post, I emphasized that A shares would fluctuate between 3150 points and 200 points, and fell below 3150 points. But I should have thought that the bottom of the market was rising and the consolidation was going up. Finally, I paid the bill for my cognition: "I'm sorry".What do you think of the so-called bull market of A shares?In my opinion, if the meeting on the next 11-12 days falls short of expectations (in fact, it is enough), it will falsely pull down the index, then generally fall, fall to around 3330, and then draw 3350, and at the end of the month, it will reach around 3230 on the May line;

Secondly, the change from "prudent" to "moderately loose" in previous years is a major change in the caliber of monetary policy. Moderate easing was last proposed in 2010, and our caliber in the past 14 years has been consistent and steady. No matter how radical the interest rate cuts and RRR cuts are, no matter how loose they look from the behavior, they just don't let go. This is the first change in 14 years, with emphasis on the first time.So in my last post, I emphasized that A shares would fluctuate between 3150 points and 200 points, and fell below 3150 points. But I should have thought that the bottom of the market was rising and the consolidation was going up. Finally, I paid the bill for my cognition: "I'm sorry".How to judge whether it is less than expected? It is very simple. If the high-end large-cap stocks such as banks, oil and coal rise, it will be bad. If the large-cap stocks rise and the index rises (28 differentiation), but the small and medium-cap stocks do not rise, it will also be bad. This is the big money to pull the large-cap stocks up to cover the shipment of individual stocks. And vice versa.

And this passage also added the word "extraordinary countercyclical adjustment", which appeared for the first time in history! Note that this is also the first time, and supernormal means exceeding expectations!When the hesitant funds and investors exclaimed that the cow was coming, the big funds were lured to 3800, and then fell back to 3500 in January next year.In my opinion, in terms of capacity, today's science and technology innovation board is not as good as Beijing Jiao Tong 50, but in the long run, it may not be.